Thursday, January 6, 2011

Creating Trust

I and our treasurer Mr.Prasanna were having an informal discussion. I asked him, "Is there a way by which we can hurt a person the most?" He replied, "Its simple, just break a person's trust." He was right, he just pulled the words out of my mouth. Trust - just five small letters but a big giant meaning. This world revolves around this word.

It takes months if not years to gain a person's trust but it takes seconds to break it. Breaking trust in todays world is quite normal and quite natural. There are individuals who break trust, example Citibank fraud (21st century) and John Law (18th century). There are giant corporations like Everon and Satyam which has broken the trust and who knows how many are yet to come. There are even not for profit organizations working for profits behind the scene.

You might think, why am I talking too much about trust, have I been perfect? Well, I am an average human. I am not perfect either, but I have learned to keep trust. I have learned to trust. I have learned to respect trust and I am careful not to break trust. I think thats what makes me close to perfect (if not perfect).

Its not only me who stands by this principal, but our entire team at NMWS. We have brought the same principal into NMWS and NMWS will never break trust. We are here to build trust. So we request you all to join us and establish trust, and make this world a better place.

-with love,
Krishnan, President NMWS.

British Isles

Climate change has potential risks for the British Isles. Most critical of these risks is an increase in frequency and intensity of extreme weather such as hot spells, drought and storms. Accompanying a projected rise in average surface temperature of between 0.9 and 2.4°C by 2050 will be the increased occurrence of hot, dry summers, particularly in the southeast. Mild wet winters are expected to occur more often by the middle of the 21st century, especially in the northwest, but the chance of extreme winter freezing should diminish.
Higher temperatures may reduce the water-holding capacity of soils and increase the likelihood of soil moisture deficits, particularly if precipitation does not increase as well. These changes would have a major effect on the types of crops, trees or other vegetation that the soils can support. The stability of building foundations and other structures, especially in central, eastern and southern England, where clay soils with a large shrink-swell potential are abundant, would be affected if summers became drier and winters wetter.

Any sustained rise in mean surface temperature exceeding 1°C, with the associated extreme weather events and soil water deficits, would have marked effects on the UK flora and fauna. There may be significant movements of species northwards and to higher elevations. Predicted rates of climate change may be too great for many species, particularly trees, to adapt genetically. Many native species and communities would be adversely affected and may be lost to the UK, especially endangered species which occur in isolated damp, coastal or cool habitats. It is likely that there would be an increased invasion and spread of alien weeds, pests, diseases and viruses, some of which may be potentially harmful. Increased numbers of foreign species of invertebrates, birds and mammals may out-compete native species.

Climate changes are likely to have a substantial effect on agriculture in the UK. In general, higher temperatures would decrease the yields of cereal crops (such as wheat) although the yield of crops such as potatoes and sugar beet would tend to increase. However, pests such as the Colorado beetle on potatoes and rhizomania on sugar beet, currently thought to be limited by temperature, could become more prevalent in the future. The length of the growing season for grasses and trees would increase by about 15 days per degree Celsius rise in average surface temperature, an increase that could improve the viability of crops such as maize and sunflower, which are currently grown more in warmer climates.

Increases in sea level, and the frequency and magnitude of storms, storm surges and waves would lead to an enhanced frequency of coastal flooding. A number of low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise, including the coasts of East Anglia, Lancashire, Lincolnshire and Essex, the Thames estuary, parts of the North Wales coast, the Clyde/Forth estuaries and the Belfast Lough. Flooding would result in short-term disruption to transport, manufacturing and housing, and long-term damage to engineering structures such as coastal power stations, rail and road systems. In addition, long-term damage to agricultural land and groundwater supplies, which provide about 30% of the water supply in the UK, would occur in some areas due to salt water infiltration.

Water resources would generally benefit from wetter winters, but warmer summers with longer growing seasons and increased evaporation would lead to greater pressures on water resources, especially in the southeast of the UK. Increased rainfall variability, even in a wetter climate, could lead to more droughts in any region in the UK. Higher temperatures would lead to increased demand for water and higher peak demands, requiring increased investment in water resources and infrastructure. An increase in temperature would increase demand for irrigation, and abstraction from agriculture would compete with abstractions for piped water supply by other users.

Higher temperatures would have a pronounced effect on energy demand. Space heating needs would decrease substantially but increased demand for air conditioning may entail greater electricity use. Repeated annual droughts could adversely affect certain manufacturing industries requiring large amounts of process water, such as paper-making, brewing and food industries, as well as power generation and the chemical industry.

Sensitivity to weather and climate change is high for all forms of transport. Snow and ice present a very difficult weather related problem for the transport sector. A reduction in the frequency, severity and duration of winter freeze in the British Isles would be likely under conditions associated with global warming and could be beneficial. However, any increase in the frequency of severe gale episodes could increase disruption to all transport sectors.

The insurance industry would be immediately affected by a shift in the risk of damaging weather events arising from climate change in the British Isles. If the risk of flooding increases due to sea level rise, this would expose the financial sector to the greatest potential losses.

UK tourism has an international dimension which is sensitive to any change in climate which alters the competitive balance of holiday destinations worldwide. If any changes to warmer, drier summer conditions occur, this could stimulate an overall increase in tourism in the UK. However, any significant increase in rainfall, wind speed or cloud cover could offset some of the general advantages expected from higher temperatures.

Introduction to Global Warming

Measurements of temperature taken by instruments all over the world, on land and at sea have revealed that during the 20th century the Earth’s surface and lowest part of the atmosphere warmed up on average by about 0.6°C. During this period, man-made emissions of greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have increased, largely as a result of the burning of fossil fuels for energy and transportation, and land use changes including deforestation for agriculture. In the last 20 years, concern has grown that these two phenomena are, at least in part, associated with each other. That is to say, global warming is now considered most probably to be due to the increases in greenhouse gas emissions and concurrent increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, which have enhanced the Earth's natural greenhouse effect. Whilst other natural causes of climate change can cause global climate to change over similar periods of time, computer models demonstrate that in all probability there is a real discernible human influence on the global climate.

If the climate changes as current computer models have projected, global average surface temperature could be anywhere from 1.4 to 5.8°C higher by the end of the 21st century than in 1990. To put this temperature change into context, the increase in global average surface temperature which brought the Earth out of the last major ice age 14,000 years ago was of the order of 4 to 5°C. Such a rapid change in climate will probably be too great to allow many ecosystems to suitably adapt, and the rate of species extinction will most likely increase. In addition to impacts on wildlife and species biodiversity, human agriculture, forestry, water resources and health will all be affected. Such impacts will be related to changes in precipitation (rainfall and snowfall), sea level, and the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, resulting from global warming. It is expected that the societies currently experiencing existing social, economic and climatic stresses will be both worst affected and least able to adapt. These will include many in the developing world, low-lying islands and coastal regions, and the urban poor.

The Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992) and the Kyoto Protocol (1997) represent the first steps taken by the international community to protect the Earth's climate from dangerous man-made interference. Currently, nations have agreed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by an average of about 5% from 1990 levels by the period 2008 to 2012. The UK, through its Climate Change Programme, has committed itself to a 12.5% cut in greenhouse gas emissions. Additional commitments for further greenhouse gas emission reduction will need to be negotiated during the early part of the 21st century, if levels of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere are to be stabilised at reasonable levels. Existing and future targets can be achieved by embracing the concept of sustainable development - development today that does not compromise the development needs of future generations. In practical terms, this means using resources, particularly fossil-fuel-derived energy, more efficiently, re-using and recycling products where possible, and developing renewable forms of energy which are inexhaustible and do not pollute the atmosphere.

NMWS on Facebook

This week has been great for us. We received our incorporation certificate, which is uploaded on the site for the public view. We have now created a facebook page for our society. NMWS is now on facebook :) . Everyone out there is welcome to join us and help us in helping the needy.

Nesam Makkal Welfare Society's social media presence: